A stochastic prediction model of the hourly profile of the I(h;nj) for any day nj at a site is outlined. It requires 1,2,or 3 measurements of the global solar radiation in a day nj, uses a D.B. and gives I(h;nj) for the rest hours. The model is validated against solar measurements. Conclusions are deducted for the predictive power of the model developed in MATLAB. It provides I(h;nj) profile predictions very close to the measured values and offers itself as a promising tool for a predictive on-line daily load management.
Stochastic prediction model, Solar radiation, PV cells
Notes
Παρουσίαση στη διεθνή εκδήλωση "The Innovation Week on R.E.S.: 11 Days Intensive Learning & Exhibition of Innovation on PV Systems Engineering & the other Renewable Energy Systems and the Entrepreneurship spirit", που διοργανώθηκε από το ΤΕΙ Πάτρας και τα συνεργαζόμενα πανεπιστήμια, στην Πάτρα, στις 1-11 Ιουλίου 2012.
